Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 165.224165 192.381893 224.149046 264.448972 314.783728 376.352000 4.585800e+02
2025-06-01 127.149958 159.932016 202.530156 263.373804 350.538807 475.092886 6.749286e+02
2025-06-08 105.291113 139.059432 186.025772 258.713754 373.536622 558.097136 9.020104e+02
2025-06-15 94.466507 129.918154 182.137299 268.821813 418.479521 687.664974 1.272225e+03
2025-06-22 81.080812 114.495267 165.617149 254.617262 418.158820 737.549719 1.518737e+03
2025-06-29 73.156325 105.946247 157.984240 252.932570 438.779318 834.496784 1.938919e+03
2025-07-06 66.942834 99.124574 151.886348 252.337931 460.853008 943.432042 2.484828e+03
2025-07-13 64.579063 98.113986 155.226154 269.623635 524.844803 1181.924356 3.706810e+03
2025-07-20 62.910489 97.976032 159.950125 290.528870 604.269914 1510.271611 5.836515e+03
2025-07-27 59.186821 93.809251 156.644521 294.014967 642.941281 1745.319649 8.082664e+03
2025-08-03 56.434928 91.036794 155.541417 302.014492 696.495026 2071.845401 1.194333e+04
2025-08-10 53.103261 86.849620 151.101493 301.492048 726.378366 2337.071194 1.655059e+04
2025-08-17 50.193638 83.497873 148.594406 306.906869 782.703582 2801.618055 2.709615e+04
2025-08-24 46.885156 79.106329 143.488876 305.258446 818.434641 3232.407701 4.338427e+04
2025-08-31 43.649469 74.516343 137.336590 299.593996 838.893774 3622.297086 6.823027e+04
2025-09-07 42.113372 73.099251 137.836497 311.855640 931.688319 4628.586563 1.656098e+05
2025-09-14 38.681479 67.552734 128.457673 294.632045 902.323310 4741.197896 2.304750e+05
2025-09-21 36.604021 64.588912 124.603510 292.593093 935.816176 5443.141450 5.119119e+05
2025-09-28 34.806992 62.043719 121.408917 291.873608 975.787617 6326.753839 1.507689e+06
2025-10-05 34.405185 62.370913 125.004466 312.829538 1130.506187 8989.709387 6.796737e+07
2025-10-12 34.178958 63.043490 129.535989 338.283862 1332.043514 13566.424515 NaN
2025-10-19 32.905001 61.312245 127.846621 342.539944 1422.635414 17129.728439 NaN
2025-10-26 31.965647 60.239925 127.708379 352.318382 1557.460158 23171.718138 NaN